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Seyed M. Karimi, PhD

 Health Management and Systems Sciences
Assistant Professor
Phone: 502-852-0417
Fax: 502-852-3294
Office: SPHIS 115
Office Hours: By appointment

CURRICULUM VITAE

Seyed M. Karimi’s work sits at the intersection of microeconomics, statistics, and health policy. Health policy evaluation, modeling health care finance, early-life shock analysis, environmental health, welfare analysis, modeling infectious disease transmission, and burden of disease estimation are the areas of his research. He has taught courses on health services methodology, data management, health economics and policy, labor economics and policy, cost-benefit analysis, and introductory and intermediate microeconomics and macroeconomics. He is currently an assistant professor of health economics at the University of Louisville School of Public Health and Information Sciences. He also holds the health economist position at the Center for Health Equity (CHE) at the Louisville Metro Department of Public Health and Wellness (LMPHW), where he assists departmental leadership in defining policy priorities and programs. He also collaborates with the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluations (IHME) in the Global Burden of Disease project. From April 2020, he has led a team of multidisciplinary researchers to project COVID-19 trends in the City of Louisville and the State of Kentucky.  

Published Papers

COVID-19 (including reports)

Projections of COVID-19 Trends

1. Karimi SM, Zarei H, LaZur R, DuPre NC, McKinney WP, Patel N, Little BB, Mitra R, Moyer S, Schutze MH. “Projecting COVID-19 Hospitalizations for Regions 2, 3, and 4 of the Kentucky Regional Hospital Preparedness Program (HPP) Coalition during the Implementation of the State’s ‘Targeted Measures’.” November 2020.

2. Karimi SM, Zarei H, LaZur R, DuPre NC, McKinney WP, Patel N, Little BB, Mitra R, Moyer S, Schutze MH. “Projecting COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Deaths for Region 3 of the Kentucky Regional Hospital Preparedness Program (HPP) Coalition (Jefferson County and 14 Surrounding Counties) during the Implementation of the State’s ‘Targeted Measures’.” November 2020.

3. Karimi SM, Zarei H, DuPre NC, Salunkhe SS, Patel N, Mitra R, McKinney WP, Little BB, Moyer S. “Projecting COVID-19 Deaths and Hospitalizations for Region 4 of the Kentucky Regional Hospital Preparedness Program (HPP) Coalition from August 18 to October 17, 2020.” August 2020.

4. Karimi SM, Zarei H, DuPre NC, Chen YT, Patel N, Mitra R, McKinney WP, Little BB, Ul Hassan R, Moyer S. “Projecting COVID-19 Deaths and Hospitalizations for Jefferson County, KY from July 16 to September 15, 2020.” July 2020.

5. Karimi SM, DuPre NC, McKinney WP, Little B, Patel N, Moyer S. “Projecting the COVID-19 Weekly Deaths, Infections, and Hospitalizations for Jefferson County, Kentucky.” April 2020.

6. Karimi SM, DuPre NC, McKinney WP, Little B, Patel N, Moyer S. “Projecting the Covid-19 Weekly Deaths and Hospitalizations for Jefferson County, Kentucky.” UL Journal of Respiratory Infections 2020;4(1): 139053.

Surveys of Mask Use

7. Karimi SM, Salunkhe SS, White K, Chen YT, McKinney WP, Little BB, DuPre NC, Mitra R, Adkins ER, Alzahrani SA, Barclay JA, Ezekekwu E, He CX, Hurst DM, Popescu MM, Swinney DN, Johnson DA, Hollenbach R, Moyer S. “ Results of the Second Observational Surveys of Mask Use in Indoor Public Areas in Jefferson County, KY during December 14−20, 2020.” December 2020.

8. Karimi SM, Salunkhe SS, White K, Alzahrani SA, Little BB, Chen YT, McKinney WP, DuPre NC, Mitra R, Popescu MM, Adkins ER, Barclay JA, Ezekekwu E, He CX, Hurst DM, Kothagadi AR, Shakib SH, Swinney DN, Johnson DA, Hollenbach R, Moyer S. “Disparities in Mask Use in Jefferson County, Kentucky: Results from an Observational Survey, November 5−11, 2020.” Under Review at the UL Journal of Respiratory Infections, December 2020.

9. Karimi SM, Salunkhe SS, White K, Alzahrani SA, Little BB, Chen YT, McKinney WP, DuPre NC, Mitra R, Popescu MM, Adkins ER, Barclay JA, Ezekekwu E, He CX, Hurst DM, Kothagadi AR, Shakib SH, Swinney DN, Johnson DA, Hollenbach R, Moyer S. “COVID-19 Protection Measures and Facial Mask Use in Jefferson County, Kentucky, Indoor Public Areas by Capacity” Under Review at the UL Journal of Respiratory Infections, December 2020.

10. Karimi SM, Salunkhe SS, White K, Alzahrani SA, Little BB, Chen YT, McKinney WP, DuPre NC, Mitra R, Popescu MM, Adkins ER, Barclay JA, Ezekekwu E, He CX, Hurst DM, Kothagadi AR, Shakib SH, Swinney DN, Johnson DA, Hollenbach R, Moyer S. “Projecting COVID-19 Deaths and Hospitalizations for Region 4 of the Kentucky Regional Hospital Preparedness Program (HPP) Coalition from August 18 to October 17, 2020.” November 2020.

County-Level Variations in COVID-19

11. DuPre NC, Little BB, McKinney WP, Zhang C, Blair L, Gupta A, Mitra R, Karimi SM. “County-Level Demographic, Socioeconomic, School Enrollment and Lifestyle Correlates of COVID-19 Infection and Death Trajectories during the First Wave of the Pandemic in United States Counties.” December 2020.

12. Little BB, Karimi SM. “Mobility and COVID-19 Cases and Deaths at the Border of Kentucky and Indiana.” July 2020.

13. Karimi SM, Majbouri M, DuPre NC, White K, Little BB, McKinney WP. “Spring Weather and COVID-19 Deaths in the U.S.” June 2020.

APPLIED ECONOMICS & HEALTH SCIENCES

1. Karimi SM, Eslami K, Johnson CE. “U.S. Health Care Expenditure Across Income Groups by Age and Type of Care.” Journal of Health Care for the Poor and Underserved 2021, forthcoming.

2. Asadi-Aliabadi M, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Mirbaha-Hashemi F, Janani L, Babaee E, Karimi SM, Nojomi M, Moradi-Lakeh M. “Evaluating the Impact of a Non-Physician Health Care Provider Results-Based Motivating System on Population Level of the Non-Communicable Diseases Risk Factors in Iran: Study Protocol for a Field Trial.” Medical Journal of the IR Iran 2021, forthcoming.

3. Khatibi R, Karimi SM, Moradi-Lakeh M. “Fossil Energy Price and Outdoor Air Pollution: Predictions from a QUAIDS Model.” Biofuel Research Journal 2020;7(3): 1205-1216.

4. Karimi SM, Little B, Mokhtari M. “Short-term Fetal Nutritional Stress and Long-term Health: Child Height.” American Journal of Human Biology. Available online 06 November 2020.

5. Karimi SM, Taghvatalab G. “Access to Higher Education and the Likelihood of Being Married.” Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. Available online 18 May 2020.

6. Karimi SM. Pouran H, Majbouri M, Moradi-Lakeh M, Hakimian H, Basart S, “Saharan Sand and Dust Storms and Neonatal Mortality: Evidence from Burkina Faso.” Science of the Total Environment 2020;729(August): 139053. Available online 29 April 2020.

7. Karimi SM, Maziyaki A, Ahmadian Moghadam S, Jafarkhani M, Zarei H, Moradi-Lakeh M, Pouran H. “Continuous Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution and Chronic Diseases: Prevalence, Burden, and Economic Costs.” Reviews on Environmental Health. Available online 22 April 2020.

8. Karimi SM, Basu A. “The Effect of Prenatal Exposure to Ramadan on Children’s Height.” Economics and Human Biology 2018; 30(September): 69-83.

9. Abbasi H, Karimi SM. “Child Gender and Men’s Labor Market Outcomes: the Case of a Dotal Society.” Review of Middle East Economics and Finance 2017; 13(1): 1-19.

10. Gahvari F, Karimi SM. “Export Constraint and Domestic Fiscal Reform: Lessons from 2010 Subsidy Reform Iran.” Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 2016; 60(May): 40-57.

BURDEN OF DISEASE ESTIMATION

1. GBD 2019 UHC Collaborators. “Measuring UHC Effective Coverage Index in 204 Countries and Territories, 1990–2019: A Systematic Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.” The Lancet 2020; 396(10258): 1250-1284.

2. GBD 2017 SDG Collaborators. “Measuring Progress from 1990 to 2017 and Projecting Attainment to 2030 of the Health-Related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 Countries and Territories: a Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.” The Lancet 2018; 392(10159): 2091-2138.

3. GBD 2017 Population and Fertility Collaborators. “Population and Fertility by Age and Sex for 195 Countries and Territories, 1950–2017: a Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.” The Lancet 2018; 392(10159): 1995-2051.

4. GBD 2017 Mortality Collaborators. “Population and Fertility by Age and Sex for 195 Countries and Territories, 1950–2017: a Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.” The Lancet 2018; 392(10159): 1684-1735.

5. GBD 2016 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators. “Measuring Performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 Countries and Territories and Selected Subnational Locations: a Systematic Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.” The Lancet 2018; 391(10136): 2236-2271.

6. GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Neonatal, Infant, and under-5 Mortality Collaborators. “Adolescent Health in the Eastern Mediterranean Region.” International Journal of Public Health 2017; 63(S1): 79-96.

7. GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Neonatal, Infant, and under-5 Mortality Collaborators. “Neonatal, Infant, and Under-5 Mortality and Morbidity Burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region.” International Journal of Public Health 2017; 63(S1): 63-77.

8. GBD 2016 Mortality Collaborators. “Global, Regional, and National Under-5 Mortality, Adult Mortality, Age-Specific Mortality, and Life Expectancy, 1970-2016.” The Lancet 2017; 390(10100): 1084-1150.

9. GBD 2016 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. “Global, Regional, and National Disability-Adjusted Life-Years (DALYs) for 333 Diseases and Injuries and Healthy Life Expectancy (HALE) for 195 Countries and Territories, 1990–2016.” The Lancet 2017; 390(10100): 1260-1344.

10. GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators. “Global, Regional, and National Age-Sex Specific Mortality for 264 Causes of Death, 1980–2016.” The Lancet 2017; 390(10100): 1151-1210.

11. GBD 2016 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators. “Healthcare Access and Quality Index Based on Mortality from Causes Amenable to Personal Healthcare in 195 Countries and Territories, 1990-2015.” The Lancet 2017; 390(10091): 231-266.

12. GBD 2016 Health Financing Collaborators. “Future and Potential Spending on Health 2015-2040: Government, Private, and Donor Financing for 184 Countries.” The Lancet 2017; 389(10083): 2005-2030.

13. GBD 2016 Health Financing Collaborators. “The Evolution and Patterns of Global Health Financing 1995-2014: Development Assistance for Health, and Government, Prepaid Private, and Out-of-Pocket Health Spending in 184 Countries.” The Lancet 2017; 389(10083): 1981-2004.

14. Karimkhani C, Dellavalle RP, Karimi SM. “Burden of Skin and Subcutaneous Diseases in Iran and Neighboring Countries, 1990–2015.” Archives of Iranian Medicine 2017; 20(7): 429-440.

15. Moradi-Lakeh M, Sepanlou SG, Karimi SM. et al. “The Trend of Socio-Demographic Index and Mortality Estimates in Iran and Its Neighbors, 1990–2015.” Archives of Iranian Medicine 2017; 20(7): 419-428.

16. Sepanlou SG, Parsaeian M., Krohn J, … , Karimi SM. et al. “Disability-Adjusted Life-Years (DALY) for 315 Diseases and Injuries, and Healthy Life Expectancy (HALE) in Iran and Its Neighboring Countries, 1990-2015.” Archives of Iranian Medicine 2017; 20(7): 403-418.

17. Djalalinia S, Moghaddam S, Moradi-Lakeh M, … , Karimi SM. et al. “Prevalence and Years Lived with Disability of 310 Diseases and Injuries in Iran and Its Neighboring Countries, 1990–2015.” Archives of Iranian Medicine 2017; 20(7): 392-402.

WORKING PAPERS (draft available)

1. GBD 2019 Collaborators. “Global, regional, and national levels of neonatal, infant, and under-5 all-cause and cause-specific mortality, 1990–2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.” R&R to The Lancet.

2. GBD 2017 Collaborators. “Estimates, Trends, and Drivers of the Global Burden of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Attributable to Particulate Matter Air Pollution: An Analysis of Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.” R&R to The Lancet Planetary Health.

3. Haidar JI, Karimi SM. “International Financial Sanctions and Household Welfare.” February 2020.

4. Pouran H, Karimi SM, Sheng Y, Gyoh L, Arif M. “What China’s War on Pollution Means for PV Solar, Electric Vehicles and Carbon Capture and Storage Technologies.” March 2020.

5. Eslami K, Karimi SM. “Health: Luxury or Necessity? Medical Spending, Health Capital, and the Production of Health in the US.” November 2018.

6. Karimi SM, Eslami K. “Health Capital and the Productivity of Health Spending: Evidence from the RAND Health Insurance Experiment.” October 2018.

7. Eslami K, Karimi SM. “Search and Search Costs in Individual Health Insurance Markets.” September 2017.

8. Esfahani H, Karimi SM. “Social Protection and Gender in Iran: Assessing the Differential Impact of Social Protection Activities on Female-Headed versus Male-Headed Households.” July 2017.

9. Karimi SM. “Prenatal Exposure to Ramadan and the Length of Gestation.” Working Paper 1236, Economic Research Forum, March 2017.

10. Esfahani H, Karimi SM. “Distributional Effects of Public Spending and Programs in Iran.” Working Paper 891, Economic Research Forum, December 2014.

WORK IN PROGRESS

1. Karimi SM, Little B, Malina R, Peña ME. “Conditional Cash Transfer Programs and Mexican Indigenous Children’s Anthropometrics.”

2. Eslami K, Karimi SM, “A Life-Cycle General Equilibrium Model of the US Long-Term Care Insurance Market.”

3. Eslami K, Karimi SM, “A Model for Search in the US Individual Health Insurance Market.”

4. Taghvatalab S, Taghvatalab G, Karimi SM. “Increased Access to Higher Education and Fertility Rate.”

5. Karimi SM, Maziyaki A, Zare H. “The Effect of Exposure to Middle East Desert Storms on Birth Outcomes: A Population-Based Study.”

6. Karimi SM, Khosravi A., Najafi F. “The Effects of Exposure to Earthquake on Population Health: A Population Level Study.”

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